I am an applied microeconomist. I study real estate, urban economics, and industrial organization. I earned my doctorate in Economics from University of Wisconsin–Madison in 2026.
Research
Regulatory Hurdles and Costly Delay in Housing Development (job market paper)
Abstract: This paper quantifies the supply effects of discretionary permit review, a common but understudied regulatory friction that delays and adds uncertainty to housing development. Using the universe of permit applications in Seattle, Washington, during a period when a unit count threshold for undergoing discretionary permit review was in place, I show that undergoing discretionary review increased permit review time by 4 to 5 months, and that developers reduced unit counts and increased average unit size in order to avoid discretionary review. I then propose a novel extension of prevailing housing production models to multifamily developments that accounts for both the intensive and extensive margins of development. Using data that is freely and publicly available in most jurisdictions, I estimate the model and find that removing discretionary permit review would have increased the number of new units constructed by 5.5% while reducing the average size of new developments by nearly 2%. The estimated change comes largely from the intensive margin, as, in expectation, only two additional parcels would be redeveloped absent discretionary review.
The Effects of Residential Landlord-Tenant Laws: New Evidence from Canadian Reforms using Census Data
(with Dylan R. Clarke)
Journal of Urban Economics 140 (March 2024): 103631
Abstract: We study the consequences of landlord–tenant laws on quality and prices in the rental housing market. We use the staggered introduction of Canadian Residential Tenancy Acts to study the consequences of a landlord–tenant reform that reduced tenants’ litigation costs and improved their bargaining power through mandatory contractual terms. To do so, we employ the difference-in-differences approach to estimate the average treatment effect on a repeated-cross section of households, controlling for income and family structure in five cities. The estimates imply that the reform led to a decline of 2.2 percentage points in the probability of a major defect, with no measurable effect on rent prices or homeownership rates. The average treatment effects are concentrated within families with children, who face greater costs to moving in response to property damage. The results are consistent with a stylized model in which a reduction in litigation costs allows the tenant to more cheaply recover on damages when moving costs are high, with second-generation rent controls limiting increases in rent prices charged by the landlord.
The Impact of Distance in Retail Markets
(With Jean-François Houde, Peter Newberry, and Katja Seim)
AEA Papers and Proceedings 113: 229-233
Abstract: We examine the demand-side implications of Amazon's distribution and logistics investments. Our results indicate that online demand—transactions at Amazon and its competitors—does not respond to the consumer's proximity to Amazon's upstream fulfillment distribution facilities, suggesting that their densification did not differentially improve local shipping times and on-time delivery. Instead, we find that investments in last-mile delivery facilities and services allow the company to improve shipping times more directly in the urban markets served by these facilities, simultaneously increasing demand through the rollout of same-day service options and reducing the visits to traditional brick-and-mortar retail.
The Effect of Regulatory Oversight on Nonbank Mortgage Subsidiaries
(with Eliana Balla, Raymond Brastow, and Morgan Rose)
Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics 68, no. 3 (April 2024): 523-575
Abstract: In 2009, the Federal Reserve subjected nonbank mortgage-originating subsidiaries of bank holding companies (BHCs), but not independent nonbank (INB) mortgage originators, to consumer compliance supervision. We examine the effects of this regulatory change on the pricing and performance of nonbank originations using a sample of conventional, first-lien, amortizing mortgages originated between 2000 and 2015. We find that subsidiary nonbank (SNB) loans, which had a higher probability of default than INB mortgages prior to the policy change, had a lower probability of default following the change. In addition, we identify small but statistically significant decreases in loan interest rates and loan-to-value ratios for SNB mortgages relative to INB mortgages. When we split our sample into prime and subprime mortgages, we find those effects hold for prime mortgages. For subprime mortgages, after the policy change SNB originations had higher interest rates and lower LTV ratios than INB mortgages, with only weakly significant differences in probabilities of default. The findings are robust to several potential confounding effects, including those due to firm entries and exits. Our findings are consistent with BHCs reducing risk shifting in mortgage lending across subsidiaries following their heightened regulatory scrutiny.
Much ADU about Something? Evidence from a Recent Reform (with Anya Tarascina)
Working Paper
Abstract: In response to rising housing costs exacerbated by historically low levels of new housing construction, many U.S. cities have enacted reforms to encourage accessory dwelling unit (ADU) development on lots otherwise zoned for single-family development. These policies aim to increase housing density, and therefore supply, without requiring broader zoning changes or more disruptive development. This paper examines a 2019 reform in Seattle that eased ADU restrictions. We document a surge in ADU permit applications and construction following the reform. Using both hedonic and repeat-sales pricing models, we estimate that constructing an ADU raises a property's value by approximately 21% in subsequent sales, with detached ADUs commanding higher premia than attached ADUs due to lower reallocation of value from the principal residence. We also find that ADU-eligible lots appreciated by 4 percent relative to ineligible lots post-reform, consistent with significant option values for ADU construction. In contrast to prior work, we find no evidence of nuisance spillovers on neighboring properties. Our findings inform ongoing debates on urban residential land use policy.
Hidden Biases: Selective Advertising in the Rental Housing Market (with Lu Han and Christopher Timmins)
Work in Progress
Abstract: While audit and correspondence studies have documented persistent racial discrimination in rental housing, these methods are not designed to capture subtler forms of bias that can occur without renters ever realizing it. This paper examines one such overlooked practice: selective unadvertising, where landlords withhold available units from online listings and instead fill them through informal channels that disproportionately benefit white renters. We introduce a novel, data-driven approach that links unit-level rental listings from a major online platform with detailed tenant turnover records across 27 U.S. metro areas. By comparing the racial composition of occupants in listed versus “hidden” units and controlling for alternative factors that might account for racial sorting, we assess the extent of discrimination through selective advertising. We find that Black renters are more likely to occupy listed units than comparable white renters, with disparities especially pronounced in neighborhoods offering better amenities, environmental quality, and upward mobility. Moreover, the burden of selective advertising falls disproportionately on lower-income renters and families with children. Together, these findings reveal how seemingly invisible listing practices can reinforce residential segregation and unequal access to neighborhood resources by shaping how information is supplied.
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Education
- Ph.D., EconomicsJuly 2026
- MA, EconomicsJune 2017
- BA, EconomicsJune 2016
Fields of Interest
Real Estate, Industrial Organization, Urban Economics, Applied Microeconomics
Working Papers
“Regulatory Hurdles and Costly Delay in Housing Development.” (job market paper)
“Much ADU About Something?” (With Anya Tarascina).
Works in Progress
“Hidden Biases: Selective Advertising in the Rental Housing Market.” (with Lu Han and Christopher Timmins)
Publications
“The Effect of Regulatory Oversight on Nonbank Mortgage Subsidiaries.” Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics 68, no. 3 (April 2024): 523-575. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11146-022-09906-z (With Eliana Balla, Raymond Brastow, and Morgan Rose). Online Appendix
“The Effects of Residential Landlord-Tenant Laws: New Evidence from Canadian Reforms using Census Data.” Journal of Urban Economics 140 (March 2024): 103631. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jue.2024.103631 (With Dylan Clarke).
“The Impact of Distance in Retail Markets.” AEA Papers & Proceedings 113 (May 2023): 229-233. (With Jean-François Houde, Peter Newberry, and Katja Seim). https://doi.org/10.1257/pandp.20231066
Professional Experience
- Bates White Economic ConsultingWashington, D.C.
- Federal Reserve Bank of MinneapolisMinneapolis, MN
- University of Wisconsin–MadisonMadison, WI
- J. Michael Collins, Institute for Research on Poverty, January 2026–July 2026
- Lu Han, Real Estate & Urban Economics, July 2023–August 2024
- Jean-François Houde, Industrial Organization, September 2022–June 2023
- Alina Arefeva, Real Estate & Urban Economics, October 2020–September 2022
- Fundamentals of Data Analytics for Economists, September 2024–December 2024
- Principles of Microeconomics, September 2020–May 2021 & January 2025–May 2025
- Federal Reserve Bank of RichmondBaltimore, MD
- University of TorontoToronto, ON
- Peter Morrow, International Trade
- Michel Serafinelli, Urban & Regional Economics
- Principles of Microeconomics
- Economics of Energy & the Environment
- Big Ideas in Energy: Economics, Politics & Society
- Macroeconomic Theory & Policy
- Border Policy Research InstituteBellingham, WA
Presentations, Schools, and Conferences
2026: AEA Annual Meeting, IHS Advancing Housing Research Workshop, MEA Structural Microeconomics Specialized Sessions, IIOC Annual Conference, Indiana University & Chicago Fed Real Estate and Urban Policy Symposium
2025: IHS Graduate Research Conference‡, UW–Madison Industrial Organization Seminar, UW–Madison Economics Alumni Conference*, AMIE Workshop in Applied Microeconomics‡, AREUEA National Conference, Pre-WFA Summer Real Estate Research Symposium, AREUEA International Conference, CSQIEP Mentoring Conference, London School of Economics, UEA North American Conference, APPAM Annual Fall Research Conference, Structural Microeconomics Conference†, SEA Annual Meeting†
2024: IHS Graduate Research Conference‡, UW–Madison Economics Alumni Conference*, UW–Madison Industrial Organization Seminar, Wisconsin School of Business Real Estate Seminar, Econometric Society’s Summer School in Dynamic Structural Econometrics
2023:UW–Madison Industrial Organization Seminar, UW-Madison Economics Alumni Conference*, Chicago Price Theory Summer Camp
2022: UW–Madison Industrial Organization Seminar
2019: Richmond Fed Quantitative Supervision & Research (QSR) Brown Bag Series
2016: Pacific Northwest Regional Economic Conference
* Poster session † Scheduled ‡ VirtualOther Publications
"The Economic Impacts of Cross-Border Retailing" (2016) WWU Honors Program Senior Projects. Paper 8. https://cedar.wwu.edu/wwu_honors/8/
"Monetizing Some Benefits of Participation in NEXUS" (Border Policy Brief Vol. 10, No. 3). 2015. (With Chrisopher Dingman). https://cedar.wwu.edu/bpri_publications/9/
Technical Proficiencies
Stata: AdvancedPython: Intermediate/Advanced
Julia: Intermediate/Advanced
R: Intermediate
Matlab: Intermediate
GIS: Beginner/Intermediate
HTML: Beginner
Awards, Grants, and Fellowships
- IHS Junior Fellowship (IHS020220) 2026
- Humane Studies Fellowship (No. IHS019886) Winter 2026
- Christensen Graduate Fellowship in Empirical Economics Fall 2025
- Humane Studies Fellowship (No. IHS019299) Summer 2025
- Humane Studies Fellowship (No. IHS018692) Winter 2025
- Humane Studies Fellowship (No. IHS010899) Summer 2024
- Data Set Purchase Grant (No. IHS017318) 2023–2026
- Fulbright Canada Study/Research Grant 2016–2017
References
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Ashley Swanson (chair, teaching reference)
Department of Economics University of Wisconsin–Madison swanson25@wisc.edu Phone: (608) 262-5897
Jean-François Houde
Department of Economics University of Wisconsin–Madison houde@wisc.edu Phone: (608) 262-7927
Alan Sorensen (teaching reference)
Department of Economics University of Wisconsin–Madison sorensen@ssc.wisc.edu Phone: (608) 263-3867 |
Christopher Timmins
Real Estate and Urban Land Economics Wisconsin School of Business ctimmins@wisc.edu |
Unprofessional Activities
2025 Lake Monona 20k
May 2025 in Madison, WI
Time: 1:32:22
Pace: 7:26/mi
Place: 113 of 1,244
2024 Lake Monona 20k
May 2024 in Madison, WI
Time: 1:34:49
Pace: 7:38/mi
Place: 127 of 1,028
2023 Doctoral Derby (5.07 miles)
September 2023 in Madison, WI
Time: 32:58
Pace: 6:30/mi
Place: 7 of 390
2023 Frozen Assets 5k
February 2023 in Madison, WI
Time: 23:20
Pace: 7:22/mi
Place: 4 of 356
2022 Doctoral Derby (5.39 miles)
September 2022 in Madison, WI
Time: 32:34
Pace: 6:25/mi
Place: 10 of 393
2022 Madison Mini Marathon (half marathon)
July 2022 in Madison, WI
Time: 1:38:22
Pace: 7:31/mi
Place: 64 of 1214
2021 Madison Half Marathon
November 2021 in Madison, WI
Time: 1:28:32
Pace: 6:46/mi
Place: 69 of 2,338
2020 Virtual Races
Sole of the City 10k - 38:20, 6:10/mile, 19 of 3,676
Baltimore 10 miler - 1:14:15, 7:26/mile, 15 of 1,052
Charles Street 12 - 1:32:52, 7:44/mile, 15 of 392
2019 Baltimore Running Festival (Half Marathon)
October 2019 in Baltimore, MD
Time: 1:31:02
Pace: 6:56/mi
Place: 105 of 6,903
2019 Charles Street 12-miler
August 2019 in Baltimore, MD
Time: 1:22:05
Pace: 6:50/mi
Place: 41 of 1,904
Baltimore 10-miler
June 2019 in Baltimore, MD
Time: 1:06:55
Pace: 6:42/mi
Place: 49 of 6,097
Sole of the City 10k
April 2019 in Baltimore, MD
Time: 38:20
Pace: 6:10/mi
Place: 19 of 3,674
NCR Trail Marathon
November 2018 in Sparks Glencoe, MD
Time: 3:08:35
Pace: 7:12/mi
Place: 15 of 280
2018 Baltimore Running Festival (Half Marathon)
October 2018 in Baltimore, MD
Time: 1:32:04
Pace: 7:02/mi
Place: 86 of 7,604
2018 Charles Street 12-miler
September 2018 in Baltimore, MD
Time: 1:24:34
Pace: 7:03/mi
Place: 51 of 2,220
MEC Toronto Race Two (10k)
April 2017 in Toronto, ON, Canada
Time: 43:47
Pace: 7:03/mi
Place: 22 of 426
(Results no longer hosted online)
Fun with the Fuzz 5k
April 2016 in Bellingham, WA
Time: 20:07
Pace: 6:29/mi
Place: 33 of 1,268
Chuckanut Mountain Marathon
May 2015 in Bellingham, WA
Time: 5:13:28
Pace: 11:58/mi
Place: 8 of 15